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the hottest year on record
Polymarket prices 6 outcomes on this event. the hottest year on record is the shortest at 62¢, 24 points clear of the second-hottest year on record. The prices sum to 101¢, so the book carries about 1.1 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 2 March 2027, 144 days from now. $3.7m has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| the hottest year on record | 62¢ |
| the second-hottest year on record | 38¢ |
| the fourth-hottest year on record | 0¢ |
| rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower | 0¢ |
| the third-hottest year on record | 0¢ |
| the fifth-hottest year on record | 0¢ |
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