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Anthropic
Polymarket prices 15 outcomes on this event. Anthropic is the shortest at 69¢, 58 points clear of OpenAI. The prices sum to 102¢, so the book carries about 2.1 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 31 December 2026, 136 days from now. $671k has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| Anthropic | 69¢ |
| OpenAI | 11¢ |
| xAI | 8¢ |
| 6¢ | |
| Meta | 2¢ |
| Moonshot | 2¢ |
| DeepSeek | 1¢ |
| Alibaba | 1¢ |
| Z.ai | 1¢ |
| ByteDance | 0¢ |
| Amazon | 0¢ |
| Mistral | 0¢ |
Showing the 12 most likely of 15 runners.
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