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Alibaba
Kalshi prices 9 outcomes on this event. Alibaba is the shortest at 94¢, 90 points clear of DeepSeek. The prices sum to 109¢, so the book carries about 9 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 24 August 2026, 8 days from now. $6k has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| Alibaba | 94¢ |
| DeepSeek | 4¢ |
| Moonshot | 3¢ |
| Z.ai | 2¢ |
| Xiaomi | 1¢ |
| Baidu | 1¢ |
| Tencent | 1¢ |
| ByteDance | 1¢ |
| MiniMax | 1¢ |
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