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Claude
Kalshi prices 9 outcomes on this event. Claude is the shortest at 99¢, 98 points clear of ChatGPT. The prices sum to 107¢, so the book carries about 7 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 17 August 2026, 1 days from now. $18k has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| Claude | 99¢ |
| ChatGPT | 1¢ |
| Amazon Nova | 1¢ |
| Gemini | 1¢ |
| Dola | 1¢ |
| Grok | 1¢ |
| Qwen | 1¢ |
| MUSE | 1¢ |
| Kimi | 1¢ |
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