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claude-opus-5-max
Kalshi prices 5 outcomes on this event. claude-opus-5-max is the shortest at 95¢, 89 points clear of claude-opus-5-high. The prices sum to 102¢, so the book carries about 2 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 17 August 2026, 1 days from now. $18k has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| claude-opus-5-max | 95¢ |
| claude-opus-5-high | 6¢ |
| claude-fable-5 | 1¢ |
| qwen3.8-max | 1¢ |
| claude-opus-4-7 | 1¢ |
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