POLYMARKET
55¢
Tom Begich is priced on both venues: 55¢ on Polymarket and 50¢ on Kalshi, 5 points apart. Across the 60 contracts Kanon currently matches on both venues the median difference is 3.5 points. The two are matched outcome by outcome. These are mid prices rather than the price either book would actually fill at, and a difference is only a difference if both venues settle the question the same way. Polymarket prices 22 outcomes on this event. Tom Begich is the shortest at 55¢, 29 points clear of Bernadette Wilson. The prices sum to 109¢, so the book carries about 8.6 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 3 November 2026, 78 days from now. $1.1m has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| Tom Begich | 55¢ |
| Bernadette Wilson | 26¢ |
| Treg Taylor | 10¢ |
| David Bronson | 6¢ |
| Click Bishop | 5¢ |
| Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | 4¢ |
| Nancy Dahlstrom | 1¢ |
| Mary Peltola | 0¢ |
| Matt Claman | 0¢ |
| James Parkin | 0¢ |
| Bill Walker | 0¢ |
| Adam Crum | 0¢ |
Showing the 12 most likely of 22 runners.
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