WHAT THE ODDS SHOULD BE.

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

MARKET PRICE

4¢

VENUE

Polymarket

SETTLES

1 January 2027

Polymarket prices this contract at 4¢, which is the market's own read on how likely it is to resolve Yes. Trading closes 1 January 2027, 84 days from now. $3.5m has traded on it.

Open the live terminal →Global — reference only · blocked to U.S. persons

OTHER GEOPOLITICS MARKETS WE PRICE

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Iran leader end of 2026?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Every market we price → · How we are paid · Accuracy · Privacy · Contact · Terms · Refunds

Kanon publishes general, impersonal market analytics — not advice, not a recommendation to enter any position. Prediction markets involve real risk of loss. 18+.
Poe Analytics LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801 · support@kanonterminal.io
kanonterminal.io