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47 or fewer
Polymarket prices 11 outcomes on this event. 47 or fewer is the shortest at 38¢, 20 points clear of exactly 48. The prices sum to 103¢, so the book carries about 3.1 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 3 November 2026, 26 days from now. $3.1m has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| 47 or fewer | 38¢ |
| exactly 48 | 18¢ |
| exactly 49 | 13¢ |
| exactly 50 | 12¢ |
| exactly 51 | 8¢ |
| exactly 52 | 5¢ |
| exactly 53 | 4¢ |
| exactly 54 | 2¢ |
| exactly 55 | 2¢ |
| exactly 56 | 1¢ |
| 57 or more | 1¢ |
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