WHAT THE ODDS SHOULD BE.

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

MARKET PRICE

12¢

VENUE

Polymarket

SETTLES

1 January 2028

Polymarket prices this contract at 12¢, which is the market's own read on how likely it is to resolve Yes. Trading closes 1 January 2028, 485 days from now. $3.1m has traded on it.

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