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Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2026 meeting? — Maintains rate
Kalshi prices 4 outcomes on this event. Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2026 meeting? — Maintains rate is the shortest at 54¢, 2 points clear of Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting? — Hike 25bps. The prices sum to 106¢, so the book carries about 6 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 9 December 2026, 62 days from now. $4k has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2026 meeting? — Maintains rate | 54¢ |
| Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting? — Hike 25bps | 52¢ |
| Cut rates by >25bps at their December 2026 meeting? — Cut >25bps | 2¢ |
| Cut rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting? — Cut 25bps | 1¢ |
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