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Overheating
Kalshi prices 4 outcomes on this event. Overheating is the shortest at 67¢, 34 points clear of Soft landing. The prices sum to 104¢, so the book carries about 3.6 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 13 January 2027, 97 days from now. $45k has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| Overheating | 67¢ |
| Soft landing | 33¢ |
| Stagflation | 2¢ |
| Slack / disinflation | 2¢ |
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