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Hike rates by 25bps at their March 2027 meeting? — Hike 25bps
Kalshi prices 5 outcomes on this event. Hike rates by 25bps at their March 2027 meeting? — Hike 25bps is the shortest at 53¢, 6 points clear of Hike rates by 0bps at their March 2027 meeting? — Fed maintains rate. The prices sum to 103¢, so the book carries about 3 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 17 March 2027, 160 days from now. $18k has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| Hike rates by 25bps at their March 2027 meeting? — Hike 25bps | 53¢ |
| Hike rates by 0bps at their March 2027 meeting? — Fed maintains rate | 47¢ |
| Cut rates by 25bps at their March 2027 meeting? — Cut 25bps | 2¢ |
| Hike rates by >25bps at their March 2027 meeting? — Hike >25bps | 2¢ |
| Cut rates by >25bps at their March 2027 meeting? — Cut >25bps | 1¢ |
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