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Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting? — Hike 25bps
Kalshi prices 5 outcomes on this event. Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting? — Hike 25bps is the shortest at 73¢, 49 points clear of Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2026 meeting? — Fed maintains rate. The prices sum to 102¢, so the book carries about 2 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 9 December 2026, 62 days from now. $218k has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting? — Hike 25bps | 73¢ |
| Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2026 meeting? — Fed maintains rate | 24¢ |
| Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2026 meeting? — Hike >25bps | 2¢ |
| Cut rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting? — Cut 25bps | 2¢ |
| Cut rates by >25bps at their December 2026 meeting? — Cut >25bps | 1¢ |
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