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Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?

MARKET PRICE
VENUE
Kalshi
SETTLES
31 December 2028

Kalshi prices this contract at 8¢, which is the market's own read on how likely it is to resolve Yes. Trading closes 31 December 2028, 867 days from now. $11k has traded on it.

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