WHAT THE ODDS SHOULD BE.

Will there be at least 2 VEI4 eruptions worldwide in 2026?

MARKET PRICE

14¢

VENUE

Kalshi

SETTLES

29 June 2027

Kalshi prices this contract at 14¢, which is the market's own read on how likely it is to resolve Yes. Trading closes 29 June 2027, 309 days from now. $3k has traded on it.

Open the live terminal →View on Kalshi →

OTHER CLIMATE MARKETS WE PRICE

Japan earthquake M8+ Before 2030
California earthquake M8+ Before 2035
NYC daily high 78° to 79°
NYC daily high 80° to 81°
Miami daily high 90° to 91°
Miami daily high 92° to 93°
At least 3 VEI4 eruptions worldwide in 2026
Chicago daily high 79° to 80°
Denver daily high 89° to 90°
Denver daily high 93° to 94°

Every market we price → · How we are paid · Privacy · Contact

Kanon publishes general, impersonal market analytics — not advice, not a recommendation to enter any position. Prediction markets involve real risk of loss. 18+.
kanonterminal.io