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WHAT THE ODDS SHOULD BE.
Kanon · Markets · Macro

US real GDP growth in 2027?

FAVOURITE
2.1% to 2.5%
PRICED AT
56¢
BOOK MARGIN
18 pts
RUNNERS
14
VENUE
Kalshi
SETTLES
28 February 2028

Kalshi prices 14 outcomes on this event. 2.1% to 2.5% is the shortest at 56¢, 45 points clear of 2.6% to 3.0%. The prices sum to 118¢, so the book carries about 18 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 28 February 2028, 481 days from now. $3k has traded on it.

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RunnerMarketFair (de-vig)
2.1% to 2.5%56¢51%
2.6% to 3.0%11¢9%
1.6% to 2.0%10¢9%
0.0% or Below7¢6%
1.1% to 1.5%7¢6%
0.1% to 0.5%6¢5%
5.6% to 6.0%5¢4%
3.1% to 3.5%4¢3%
0.6% to 1.0%3¢2%
3.6% to 4.0%3¢2%
4.1% to 4.5%2¢1%
5.1% to 5.5%2¢1%

Showing the 12 most likely of 14 runners.

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