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Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day
Polymarket prices 7 outcomes on this event. Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day is the shortest at 96¢, 93 points clear of Anthropic not IPO. The prices sum to 100¢, so the book carries about 0.4 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 31 December 2027, 501 days from now. $421k has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day | 96¢ |
| Anthropic not IPO | 3¢ |
| Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day | 1¢ |
| Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day | 0¢ |
| Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day | 0¢ |
| Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day | 0¢ |
| Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day | 0¢ |
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