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Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day
Polymarket prices 7 outcomes on this event. Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day is the shortest at 68¢, 51 points clear of Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day. The prices sum to 104¢, so the book carries about 3.5 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 31 December 2027, 501 days from now. $312k has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day | 68¢ |
| Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day | 17¢ |
| Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day | 9¢ |
| Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day | 3¢ |
| Anthropic not IPO | 3¢ |
| Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day | 2¢ |
| Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day | 2¢ |
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