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no change
Polymarket prices 5 outcomes on this event. no change is the shortest at 90¢, 80 points clear of a 25 bps increase. The prices sum to 101¢, so the book carries about 0.7 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 30 October 2026, 21 days from now. $508k has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| no change | 90¢ |
| a 25 bps increase | 10¢ |
| a 50+ bps increase | 0¢ |
| a 25 bps decrease | 0¢ |
| a 50+ bps decrease | 0¢ |
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