FAVOURITE
Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day
Polymarket prices 10 outcomes on this event. Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day is the shortest at 28¢, 4 points clear of Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day. The prices sum to 104¢, so the book carries about 4.4 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 1 January 2028, 449 days from now. $1.4m has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day | 28¢ |
| Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day | 24¢ |
| Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day | 20¢ |
| Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day | 13¢ |
| Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day | 8¢ |
| Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day | 3¢ |
| Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day | 3¢ |
| Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day | 2¢ |
| Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027 | 2¢ |
| Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day | 2¢ |
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